Nome Vriz Gian Luca
37
XXXVII
Dottorando
Department of Statistical Sciences University of Padua
Aula Uggè - Telefono: 049 827 4141
gianluca.vriz@studenti.unipd.it
2021 - 2024
Luigi Grossi
Tiziano Bellini and Luca Taschini
In 2021, I obtained a Master's degree in Economics (Double Degree) at the University of Udine and Graz. Title of dissertation: “SARS-CoV-2 and the elderly population: an econometric analysis of one year of Covid-19 in Friuli Venezia Giulia”. In 2019, I obtained a Bachelor's degree in Economics at the University of Udine. Title of dissertation: “Statistical Analyses for Economy and Marketing”.
Main research interests: Deep and machine learning models in time series forecasting, Advanced econometrics for macroeconomic analysis, Assessment of climate-related risk, Asset pricing models, Game theory of competitive strategy.
Centre for Business, Climate Change, and Sustainability (B-CCaS). Edinburgh, United Kingdom (January 2024 - May 2024).
Prometeia spa, Bologna, Italy (March 2023 - October 2023).
None.
This thesis addresses one of the most critical challenges for humanity in the short to medium term: the ecological transition. The success of this process requires coordination across all sectors of society and effective management of global warming, which poses both environmental and economic threats. The impacts of climate change can destabilize the financial system, trigger recessions, and interfere with the transition itself. Climate finance is the field that studies climate-related risks to the economic and financial system, categorized into three main types: physical risk, transition risk, and liability risk. These risks are incorporated into economic models to assess exposure to climate change. However, financial institutions have shown significant shortcomings in integrating these risks into their internal models. Another emerging concern is the potential formation of a speculative bubble in green sectors (i.e. green bubble), whose effects on financial stability remain unclear. An additional layer of complexity arises from the significant variation in climate policies across countries, which has profound implications for energy production and carbon-intensive industries. The thesis is structured into three chapters. The first chapter introduces an innovative framework for studying and preventing green bubbles. The second chapter presents an algorithmic approach to enhance climate scenarios and macroeconomic forecasts. Finally, the third chapter explores the potential impacts of implementing the European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM).
Statistics of Climate Change: Three Advanced Econometric Essays
Vriz G.L. (2023). I rischi nascosti della crisi climatica sul sistema finanziario. Etica per le professioni 1/2023, 67--73, ISBN 979-12-80842-35-0.
PhD student.